The Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills will battle for AFC supremacy Sunday afternoon at Highmark Stadium. The Chiefs (9-0) remained perfect with a narrow 16-14 victory over the Denver Broncos in Week 10, while the Bills (8-2) knocked off the Indianapolis Colts to grab a commanding five-game lead in the AFC East.
Buffalo is a 1.5-point home favorite over Kansas City in this highly anticipated showdown. Based on moneyline odds, the Bills at -135 (1.7) odds are the more likely winners and, according to our betting odds calculator, have an implied win probability of 57.5%, while the Chiefs at +110 (2.1) odds have a 47.6% chance to win this game.
The red-hot Bills have won five consecutive games and will have the inside track to earn the conference's top seed. Kansas City has won the past four meetings in Buffalo but will have to play much better than in Week 10 to keep its dream of a perfect season alive.
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The reigning Super Bowl champion boasts the league's 10th-ranked passing offense and added wideout DeAndre Hopkins at the trade deadline. Hopkins, who caught 15 passes for 173 yards and one touchdown in six games with the Tennessee Titans, has 10 receptions for 115 yards and a pair of scores in two games with the Chiefs. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 1,942 yards and 11 touchdowns, but has also been picked off nine times. Tight end Travis Kelce has a team-high 52 receptions for 435 yards.
Kareem Hunt has tallied 414 yards and five scores on 111 carries for a rushing attack that averages 122 yards per outing. Hunt replaced Isiah Pacheco, who suffered a leg injury in Week 2. The Chiefs lead the NFL in time of possession (33:23) and are ranked 10th in scoring with 25.4 points each week. Carson Steele has rushed for 149 yards on 44 carries, and speedy Xavier Worthy has 19 balls for 235 yards and three touchdowns.
The Bills have allowed the eighth-fewest points (19.2) this season and have limited five opponents to just 10 points. Linebacker Dorian Williams leads the team with 82 tackles, including a team-high 50 solo tackles. Defensive ends Greg Rousseau (4.5) and A.J. Epenesa (4.0) have a combined 8.5 sacks for a squad ranked 14th with 21 quarterback takedowns. Safety Damar Hamlin and cornerback Ja'Marcus Ingram collected four of the team's eight interceptions.
Josh Allen & Co. sports the NFL's fourth-ranked scoring offense with 28.9 points per game. Allen has completed 168 of 262 passes for 2,001 yards and 17 touchdowns. The 6-foot-5 field general has also rushed for 211 yards and three scores. Running back James Cook has tallied a team-best 496 yards and seven touchdowns, while Ray Davis has added 262 yards and two scores.
Khalil Shakir paces the Bills in receptions (42) and receiving yards (471), while rookie Keon Coleman has reeled in 22 catches for 417 yards and three touchdowns. Tight end Dalton Kincaid has caught 32 passes for 332 yards while Mack Hollins has posted 12 receptions for 111 yards and a trio of scores.
The Chiefs have surrendered the fourth-fewest points heading into Week 11 with 18.4 points weekly. Linebacker Nick Bolton leads the team in total tackles (56) and solo tackles (38), while Drue Tranquill and Justin Reid have collected 45 and 43 tackles, respectively. Defensive ends George Karlaftis and Chris Jones have combined for seven of the team's 17 sacks, and five different players have tallied one interception.
The Chiefs will be seeking to open the season with 10 straight wins for the first time in franchise history. Kansas City has started the season with a 9-0 card on three occasions but is 0-2 in games when undefeated with nine wins. Kelce hauled in seven catches for 58 yards and a touchdown against the Broncos to set the all-time franchise record with 76 touchdown receptions.
Left tackle Wanya Morris was injured in the second quarter against Denver and was questionable to return. However, Morris returned in the fourth quarter. Worthy was also hurt after falling hard on his elbow and shoulder in the fourth quarter. But the speedster returned to the huddle a few plays later.
Buffalo has beaten Kansas City the last three straight years in the regular season but has dropped the previous three playoff matchups opposite the Chiefs. With the win over the Colts, Allen now has sole possession of the second-most regular-season passing touchdowns in franchise history with 182 passing scores. He needs 55 touchdown throws to tie Jim Kelly's franchise record of 237 regular season scoring passes.
Kincaid suffered a knee injury against the Colts and was ruled questionable to return. However, the starting tight end was later ruled doubtful and did not return to the game. Wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster missed his third straight game with a hamstring injury and is in danger of missing this week's showdown in Orchard Park.
The Bills lead the all-time series 29-25-1 and have won two of the last three meetings:
Prediction: Buffalo 27, Kansas City 20
Sunday’s showdown between the Bills and Chiefs at Highmark Stadium promises high stakes and playoff implications. Kansas City looks to keep its perfect season alive, while Buffalo aims to defend its home turf. For those eager to get in on the action, exploring the best NFL sportsbooks can provide competitive odds and exclusive promos for game day. This clash could prove pivotal in the AFC playoff race—don’t miss it.
