The 2025 NFL season is here, and New York fans are buzzing. Both the Giants and Jets enter the year with major storylines, from new quarterbacks to playoff hopes.
In this preview, we’ll break down season predictions, win totals, prop bets, and divisional outlooks for both teams, along with the best betting angles for New Yorkers.
Key Takeaways
|
The summer brought familiar storylines. Both teams entered training camp under pressure, with new quarterbacks at the heart of their rebuilds. Their annual preseason clash in mid-August gave fans an early glimpse of what’s to come.
The Giants dominated the contest 31–12, showing strength on both sides of the ball. Malik Nabers impressed, and the defense looked solid against an undisciplined Jets side. For Gang Green, it was another frustrating performance, echoing the struggles of 2024.
Neither team had a stellar season last year, but with fresh rosters and new leadership, expectations and betting opportunities are shifting.
Before we dive into the details on each team, let’s take a quick look at how the futures markets shape up for the Giants and Jets, per BetMGM NY.
Market | Giants Odds | Jets Odds |
To Miss Playoffs | -1000 | +650 |
To Make Playoffs | +650 | +475 |
To Win Division | +2200 (NFC East) | +1800 (AFC East) |
To Win Conference | +10000 (NFC) | +10000 (AFC) |
To Win Super Bowl | +20000 | +20000 |
These futures underline just how differently the oddsmakers view New York’s teams. The Giants are priced as clear long shots across every market, while the Jets have shorter odds but are still a step behind the true contenders in the AFC.
The New York Giants have hit the reset button. After moving on from Daniel Jones, they drafted Jaxson Dart as a long-term quarterback solution and added veteran Russell Wilson to steady the ship. Rookie wideout Malik Nabers is being touted as a future superstar, injecting energy into an offense that misfired badly in 2024.
The schedule won’t do them any favors. Eight of their first nine games are against 2024 playoff teams, leaving little room for early mistakes. But a stronger roster, paired with defensive consistency, means they should at least be more competitive.
BetMGM Sportsbook has set the Giants win total at 7.5.
Over 7.5 wins (+105)
Under 7.5 wins (-125)
Given the brutal early run of opponents, BetMGM is shading toward the under. The Giants haven’t reached 8 wins since 2022, and a rookie quarterback behind a reshuffled line is a risky bet to defy history.
Best Bet:
The safer play is Under 7.5 wins (-125). The schedule alone makes clearing 7 wins unlikely, and bettors should expect growing pains with Jaxson Dart. However, the long-term upside is real, so the Giants could become a value play week-to-week later in the season.
💡 Calculate your payout using our betting odds calculator.
The Giants are priced at +250 to make the playoffs (around a 28% implied probability). The number reflects the uphill battle they face in the NFC East, where both the Eagles and Cowboys are expected to dominate again.
The Giants’ early schedule is brutal, with eight of their first nine games against 2024 playoff teams. That leaves little margin for error, and even if rookie QB Jaxson Dart finds his footing, it may come too late to rescue their postseason hopes.
At +250, the price looks fair, not inflated enough to justify a long-shot bet. The more strategic approach is to back the Giants in individual games later in the season, when their schedule softens and their young offense may be hitting stride.
The New York Jets are looking to turn the page with new QB Justin Fields. His dual-threat ability paired with star RB Breece Hall gives the offense a fresh identity. The defense, anchored by Sauce Gardner, remains elite.
BetMGM has set the Jets’ win total at 9.5 wins:
Over 9.5 wins (-110)
Under 9.5 wins (-110)
This number reflects playoff-level expectations. With Justin Fields now at quarterback and a defense anchored by Sauce Gardner, oddsmakers see the Jets as a team built to contend in 2025. Still, the AFC East is unforgiving, with both Buffalo and Miami expected to be playoff-caliber sides.
Best Bet:
Lean Over 9.5 wins (-110). If Fields settles in quickly and Breece Hall stays healthy, the Jets have enough balance to reach double-digit wins. The first three weeks of the schedule are tough, but a softer closing stretch gives them a realistic path to 10 victories.
The Jets are priced at -120 to make the playoffs. Oddsmakers are cautiously optimistic, viewing New York as slight favorites to secure a postseason berth for the first time since 2010.
Division games will decide their fate. With Buffalo still a powerhouse and Miami a perennial danger, the Jets will likely need to finish at least 4-2 in AFC East play to justify their price.
At -120, the Jets’ playoff odds are fairly set; there isn’t a huge edge either way. The smarter angle is to watch their early-season form. If Justin Fields clicks quickly, this price could shorten, making an early wager worthwhile.
Beyond futures and win totals, player props bets are a great way for bettors to find value. Here are four of the biggest lines to watch for New York stars in 2025:
Malik Nabers (Giants WR) – Rookie receiving yards line set around 775.5.
Nabers looks set to be the focal point of the Giants’ passing attack. The over is within reach if Jaxson Dart starts early and builds chemistry, but the under is safer if Wilson plays extended snaps.
Russell Wilson (Giants QB) – Passing touchdowns line at 18.5.
With Nabers in the lineup and a more aggressive scheme, Wilson could flirt with 20 TDs. That said, with Dart waiting in the wings, the risk of a midseason switch makes the over a gamble.
Breece Hall (Jets RB) – Rushing yards over/under around 1,150.5.
Hall is the Jets’ offensive engine, and with Justin Fields under center, defenses can’t key on him as much. The over is a strong play if he stays healthy.
Justin Fields (Jets QB) – Rushing yards prop at 650.5.
Fields’ mobility is a huge part of the Jets’ new identity. Expect designed runs and scrambles to keep him active on the ground. The over has value unless injuries intervene.
Expert Take: Among these props, Breece Hall over 1,150.5 rushing yards offers the strongest value. Nabers’ rookie line and Wilson’s TD total feel riskier, while Fields’ rushing upside makes his over appealing as well.
The NFC East remains one of the toughest divisions in football. The Cowboys and Eagles are both projected as playoff locks, leaving the Giants fighting for scraps.
For New York to beat their win total or sneak into contention, they’ll need to steal at least one divisional win early. Head-to-head games against Dallas and Philadelphia will determine whether the Giants are pretenders or potential dark horses.
The AFC East is equally unforgiving. The Bills are perennial contenders, and Miami’s speed-heavy offense is a nightmare for defenses.
The Jets’ playoff hopes will largely hinge on divisional performance. A 4–2 record in AFC East games should be enough to push them over the line, but anything worse could leave them scrambling for a wild-card spot.
Expert Take: The Giants’ divisional path looks like a brick wall, while the Jets’ route is narrow but realistic. Bettors should weigh this heavily when considering futures; divisional records will be the difference between cashing a ticket or tearing it up.
For New York fans and bettors alike, this season offers two contrasting journeys: one of patient rebuilding, the other of urgent contention. Which path pays off will be one of the NFL’s most fascinating storylines, and one of the sharpest betting markets to follow all year.
Before you place your wagers, make sure you’re getting maximum value. Check out our Best NFL Sportsbooks guide, where we highlight the leading betting sites in New York and the best bonuses available for the 2025 season.
The Giants are priced at +650 to make the playoffs and -1000 to miss. Oddsmakers see them as long shots in a tough NFC East division.
The Jets are listed at +475 to make the playoffs and around -650 to miss. This shows sportsbooks expect them to be competitive but not guaranteed postseason contenders.
BetMGM NY has set the Giants’ win total at 7.5, with the under favored at -125. Given their difficult early schedule, the under is the more popular side.
The Jets’ win total is set at 9.5, with both the over and under priced at -110. Hitting double-digit wins will likely depend on Justin Fields and divisional results.
For the Giants, rookie WR Malik Nabers and QB Russell Wilson headline prop markets. For the Jets, RB Breece Hall and QB Justin Fields are central to rushing and passing props.
Both the Giants and Jets are priced at +20,000 to win Super Bowl LX, showing that sportsbooks view them as extreme long shots for the title.
Check our Best NFL Sportsbooks Guide, where we highlight the top licensed operators in New York and the most competitive bonuses for the 2025 season.
The Giants drafted Jaxson Dart as their future QB, but veteran Russell Wilson is expected to start the season. Bettors should monitor any midseason switch, as it could impact passing props and game totals.
The Jets traded for Justin Fields, who will start in 2025. His dual-threat ability adds value for player prop bets, especially rushing yards, where sportsbooks have set his line around 650.5 yards.
