UFC 315’s headline bout between Belal Muhammad and Jack Della Maddalena promises to be a clash of styles, strategy, and high-stakes pressure. The welterweight division has long awaited a shake-up, and this title fight, scheduled for Saturday, May 10, 2025, at the Bell Centre in Montreal, could be exactly that.
Current Moneyline Odds (via BetMGM sportsbook):
Belal Muhammad: -225 (favorite)
Jack Della Maddalena: +185 (underdog)
Muhammad’s odds reflect his consistent success against top contenders, while Della Maddalena’s underdog value stems from his knockout streak and unbeaten UFC record. Bookmakers are banking on Muhammad’s pace and control, but Della Maddalena’s striking gives bettors a juicy upside.
Belal Muhammad (24–3, 1 NC): A volume striker and smothering grappler with elite cardio and experience in five-round fights.
Jack Della Maddalena (17–2): A rising knockout artist with some of the sharpest boxing in the division and an incredible 17-fight win streak.
Welterweight | ||
Belal Muhammad 24–3, 1 NC | Vs | Jack Della Maddalena 17-2 |
32 | Age | 28 |
5'11" | Height | 5'11" |
170 lbs | Weight | 170 lbs |
74 in | Reach | 72 in |
Belal Muhammad (to win via unanimous decision).
Belal Muhammad enters UFC 315 with a quiet intensity and the kind of self-belief that’s carried him to the top of the welterweight division. “I am the best striker in the welterweight division,” he boldly told BJPenn.com. “I'm the best grappler, I'm the best wrestler, I'm the best fighter. You've seen it.”
That confidence is backed by a style built on pressure, pace, and persistence. His path to victory lies in neutralising Della Maddalena’s offence with relentless takedowns, cage control, and well-timed volume striking.
Yet standing opposite him is one of the most composed and dangerous up-and-comers in the UFC today. Jack Della Maddalena is known for his surgical boxing and fight-ending precision. “I think I'm a better MMA fighter than him,” he told MMAFighting.com in the build-up to the bout. “I can get him on the feet and on the ground.”
That measured confidence is backed by results - 17 consecutive wins and a growing reputation as one of the division’s most clinical finishers.
Expert opinion is split. Our analysis favours Muhammad via unanimous decision, banking on his cardio and ground control to stifle any knockout attempts. Former welterweight champion Leon Edwards leans toward Della Maddalena, stating, “If I had to put money on it, I'd probably favor JDM. I feel JDM, his boxing
Meanwhile, Carlos Prates takes the opposite stance, backing Muhammad decisively: “I would like to see
Ultimately, this fight is a classic contrast in styles. If Muhammad succeeds in dragging the fight into deep waters, his grind could once again prove unstoppable. But if Della Maddalena can find his timing early and keep the fight standing, it only takes one clean connection to crown a new welterweight king.
When it comes to betting on UFC 315’s main event, the safest and most logical choice for many is Belal Muhammad via decision. The champ’s track record shows he thrives in five-round fights, where he can dictate tempo and suffocate opponents with nonstop pressure. If you’re looking for steady value and a methodical route to victory, this is the most reliable play.
On the flip side, Jack Della Maddalena’s best opportunity lies in the early rounds. His striking is fast, accurate, and capable of ending the fight with one clean shot. A wager on Della Maddalena via KO/TKO, particularly in the first or second round, presents a high-reward alternative for bettors willing to back the underdog’s explosiveness.
Another option worth considering is betting on the fight to go the distance. While Muhammad is rarely in danger of being stopped, Della Maddalena’s composure could allow him to survive even if he's outworked across five rounds. It’s a more conservative prop that still aligns with the likely flow of the fight.
Muhammad is your high-floor pick: reliable, durable, and consistent. Della Maddalena is your high-ceiling option: explosive, risky, but more than capable of stealing the spotlight with one perfectly timed strike.
The matchup is already drawing major attention on leading UFC betting sites, where Muhammad’s control and Della Maddalena’s knockout power are generating strong action.
Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena headlines UFC 315, which takes place on Saturday, May 10, 2025, at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Canada. The main card begins at 10:00 PM ET.
As per BetMGM, Belal Muhammad is the favorite at -225, and Jack Della Maddalena is the underdog at +185.
The UFC 315 main card features Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot, José Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi, Alexa Grasso vs. Natalia Silva, and Benoît Saint Denis vs. Kyle Prepolec.
Popular and reliable sportsbooks include BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel, and Caesars. Always compare odds and look for promotional offers before placing your bet.